Includes references

Content: Introduction: Materials and methods: Study area -- Climate -- Vegetation -- ASPIM model description -- Experiments for APSIM evaluation -- Scenarios for assessng impact of climate change on maize -- Statistical analysis -- Results: Simulated days to tasselling and days to physiological maturity -- Total biomass -- Grain yield -- Grain N uptake -- Total N uptake -- Total P update -- Impact of climate change on maize productivity -- Impact of climate change on the onset of the rainy season -- Impact of climate change on maize grain yield -- Discussion: Physiological days to maturity -- Grain yield and total dry matter production -- Grain N and P uptake -- Impact of climate change on the onset of the rainy season -- Impact of climate change on maize yield -- The uncertainties with modelling -- Conclusion.