01993nam a22002057a 4500 111028t xxu||||| |||| 00| 0 eng d 0075611201 9780075611202 H61.4 .D45 DeLurgio, Stephen A. Forecasting principles and applications / Stephen A. DeLurgio 1st ed Boston : Irwin/McGraw-Hill, ©1998. xxviii, 802 p. : ill. ; 26 cm. Includes index. Contents: Foundations of forecasting: Planning and forecasting -- Statistical fundamentals for forecasting -- Simple linear regression analysis -- Univariate methods: Simple smoothing methods -- Decomposition methods and seasonal indexes -- Trend-seasonal and Holt-Winters smoothing -- Univariate ARIMA methods: Univariate ARIMA models: Introduction -- ARIMA applications -- ARIMA forecast intervals -- Multivariate / causal methods: Multiple regression of time series -- Econometric methods -- ARIMA intervention analysis -- Multivariate transfer functions -- Cyclical, qualitative and artificial intelligence methods: Cyclical forecasting forecasting methods -- Technological and qualitative forecasting methods: Long-term forecasting -- Artificial neural networks, expert systems and genetic algorithms -- Combining, validation and managerial issues: Control, validation and combining methods -- Mehtod characteristics, accuracy and data sources -- Appendix A: Forecasting data sources -- Appendix B: Outlier detection and adjustment procedures -- Appendix C: Student t-distribution -- Appendix D: Areas of the standard normal distribution -- Appendix E: Critical values of chi-square -- Appendix F: The F- distribution for a=.05 and a=.01 (bold) for many possible degrees of freedom -- Appendix G: Critical values of the Durbin-Watson test statistics for a=.05. Forecasting Mathematical models. Forecasting Statistical methods. Prognoses. lcc BK 202 7702 0 0 lcc 0 0 WIUC-1 WIUC-1 GEN 2011-10-28 0 H61.4 .D45 653/11 2011-10-28 00:00:00 1 2011-10-28 BK 0 0 lcc 0 0 WIUC-1 WIUC-1 GEN 2011-10-28 0 H61.4 .D451 654/11 2011-10-28 00:00:00 2 2011-10-28 BK 0 0 lcc 0 0 WIUC-1 WIUC-1 GEN 2011-10-28 0 H61.4 .D452 655/11 2011-10-28 00:00:00 3 2011-10-28 BK