000			00848nam a22001697a 4500
005			20220413110718.0
008			220413b ||||| |||| 00| 0 eng d
020			_a9780190938048
050			_aJZ1253.F751
100			_9Friedman, Jeffery A.
245			_aWar and chance : assessing uncertainty in international politics / _cJeffery A. Friedman.
260			_aNew York : _bOxford University Press, _c2019.
300			_ax, 228 p. : _bill. ; _c24 cm.
500			_aIncludes appendix and index.
505			_aContents : Pathologies of probability assessment -- Subjective probability and international politics -- The value of precision in probability assessment -- Dispelling illusions of rigor -- The politics of uncertainty and blame -- Analysis and decision -- Placing probability front and center in foreign policy discourse.
942			_2lcc _cBK
999			_c8970 _d16470